Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1244.298325 1409.296048 1591.142811 1806.953629 2056.761284 2337.621670 2678.416606
2025-11-09 1000.173583 1223.057160 1491.149283 1839.670171 2284.103896 2836.327355 3581.335767
2025-11-16 861.049284 1108.584502 1424.521625 1861.959057 2459.182062 3256.595340 4419.726902
2025-11-23 764.155244 1024.903056 1373.865946 1882.370704 2616.729068 3657.993615 5281.111949
2025-11-30 695.392080 965.841287 1342.845189 1917.189772 2788.681985 4092.477725 6250.924793
2025-12-07 616.214981 880.826708 1262.335302 1865.533100 2819.819769 4314.378173 6920.996696
2025-12-14 550.880163 807.632505 1189.016276 1812.345097 2836.272662 4508.147799 7567.449602
2025-12-21 493.809159 740.389043 1116.509156 1749.780580 2826.008319 4651.373492 8142.835516
2025-12-28 472.145605 725.028703 1121.861729 1811.750714 3028.297624 5179.466690 9501.271970
2026-01-04 445.952955 699.595757 1107.884389 1838.545152 3171.096245 5619.498004 10768.575172
2026-01-11 419.873160 671.707569 1086.689631 1849.515387 3285.112293 6019.763823 12026.483035
2026-01-18 395.917732 645.080687 1064.774730 1856.035910 3390.256184 6415.562943 13346.449590
2026-01-25 380.441992 632.097729 1066.081210 1906.921609 3590.985628 7039.891647 15318.197296
2026-02-01 363.589159 615.299374 1059.119312 1941.596909 3764.712250 7637.268501 17364.805972
2026-02-08 346.753965 596.972128 1047.438325 1965.300699 3918.191851 8214.054026 19490.422905
2026-02-15 331.164233 579.524261 1035.614682 1987.009393 4069.685301 8809.797905 21803.188463
2026-02-22 318.770026 566.910918 1031.655330 2024.045719 4259.371069 9525.150099 24612.628414
2026-03-01 296.737658 534.370757 986.294265 1969.101699 4233.051244 9713.562489 25981.348187
2026-03-08 276.482168 503.772811 942.289718 1912.542622 4195.664691 9868.285849 27289.428720
2026-03-15 256.882275 473.108218 895.809781 1846.031040 4126.430002 9930.935278 28334.631216
2026-03-22 252.161098 471.437963 908.100400 1911.910648 4389.007924 10915.456350 32580.340122
2026-03-29 244.052585 462.353524 904.228931 1940.401484 4561.825419 11686.292022 36344.764291
2026-04-05 234.935668 450.553993 893.649889 1952.067297 4692.881941 12362.870520 39985.111767